L’École des cotes

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 48.81%2.05cote équitable
EV -4.82%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -5.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.37%48.96%48.77%52.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.861.9557.80%53.91%53.76%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.57%4.43cote équitable
EV +8.13%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.14%
Croissance +0.174%

avec la cote maximale 4.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.92%22.38%22.53%24.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.144.204.7927.78%24.16%23.81%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.62%3.49cote équitable
EV +0.159%
Avantage +0.045%
Kelly +0.063%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.07%28.66%28.70%30.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.983.253.253.5033.56%30.73%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.05%EV +8.13%E +1.70%K +2.14%G +0.174%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV +7.22%E +1.52%K +1.93%G +0.139%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:44
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV +4.74%E +1.02%K +1.30%G +0.062%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.84%E +0.834%K +1.07%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:23
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:25
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.676%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.86%E -3.85%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.34%EV -0.902%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:25
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.03%EV -14.10%E -8.01%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 10:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.73%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-11 10:55