La escuela de los momios

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Predicción 48.81%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.82%
Ventaja -2.47%
Kelly -5.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.37%48.96%48.77%52.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.861.9557.80%53.91%53.76%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Predicción 22.57%4.43momio equitativo
EV +8.13%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.14%
Crecimiento +0.174%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.92%22.38%22.53%24.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.144.204.7927.78%24.16%23.81%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.62%3.49momio equitativo
EV +0.159%
Ventaja +0.045%
Kelly +0.063%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.07%28.66%28.70%30.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.983.253.253.5033.56%30.73%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.05%EV +8.13%E +1.70%K +2.14%G +0.174%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV +7.22%E +1.52%K +1.93%G +0.139%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:44
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV +4.74%E +1.02%K +1.30%G +0.062%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.84%E +0.834%K +1.07%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:23
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:25
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.676%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.86%E -3.85%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.34%EV -0.902%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:25
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.03%EV -14.10%E -8.01%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 10:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.73%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-11 10:55