مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Wuhan Three Towns

البداية: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.81%2.05السعر العادل
EV -4.82%
الأفضلية -2.47%
Kelly -5.07%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.37%48.96%48.77%52.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.851.861.9557.80%53.91%53.76%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wuhan Three Towns (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.57%4.43السعر العادل
EV +8.13%
الأفضلية +1.70%
Kelly +2.14%
النمو +0.174%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.92%22.38%22.53%24.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.144.204.7927.78%24.16%23.81%20.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.62%3.49السعر العادل
EV +0.159%
الأفضلية +0.045%
Kelly +0.063%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.07%28.66%28.70%30.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.983.253.253.5033.56%30.73%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.05%EV +8.13%E +1.70%K +2.14%G +0.174%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV +7.22%E +1.52%K +1.93%G +0.139%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:44
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV +4.74%E +1.02%K +1.30%G +0.062%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.84%E +0.834%K +1.07%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:23
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:25
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.676%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.86%E -3.85%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.34%EV -0.902%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:25
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.03%EV -14.10%E -8.01%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 10:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.73%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 10:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-11 10:55