A Escola das Odds

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Início: 2026-04-11 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Previsão 48.81%2.05odd justa
EV -4.82%
Vantagem -2.47%
Kelly -5.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.37%48.96%48.77%52.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.861.9557.80%53.91%53.76%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wuhan Three Towns (Visitante)

Previsão 22.57%4.43odd justa
EV +8.13%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +2.14%
Crescimento +0.174%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.92%22.38%22.53%24.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.144.204.7927.78%24.16%23.81%20.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.62%3.49odd justa
EV +0.159%
Vantagem +0.045%
Kelly +0.063%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.07%28.66%28.70%30.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.983.253.253.5033.56%30.73%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.26%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.05%EV +8.13%E +1.70%K +2.14%G +0.174%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.69%EV -10.43%E -3.33%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 10:55
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.92%EV +7.22%E +1.52%K +1.93%G +0.139%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:44
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.97%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.16%EV +4.74%E +1.02%K +1.30%G +0.062%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.87%EV -13.29%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV +3.84%E +0.834%K +1.07%G +0.041%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 10:23
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.14%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV +1.58%E +0.351%K +0.452%G +0.007%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 10:25
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.81%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -0.676%E -0.154%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -11.86%E -3.85%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:45
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.34%EV -0.902%E -0.205%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.36%EV -8.71%E -2.73%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 10:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -2.26%E -0.521%K -0.678%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 10:24
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.22%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 10:25
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.27%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.93%E -0.682%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.82%EV -14.72%E -4.94%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.96%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 10:44
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -13.61%E -7.69%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-07 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.03%EV -14.10%E -8.01%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.19%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV +0.159%E +0.045%K +0.063%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-07 12:04
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -15.56%E -8.99%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -7.45%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -1.27%E -0.369%K -0.519%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-07 12:04
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:44
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.48%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -8.58%E -2.12%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 10:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 10:19
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.56%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.47%EV -7.75%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 10:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -9.71%E -2.43%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -11.29%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 10:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.77%E -3.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:44
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -7.26%E -3.82%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 10:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.70%E -5.24%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -2.70%E -0.795%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:25
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.80%EV -9.21%E -4.95%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -11.96%E -3.07%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.00%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 10:49
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -13.09%E -3.40%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 10:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.82%E -2.47%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.22%E -3.74%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.43%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.17%E -6.14%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.35%E -4.09%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -9.86%E -3.13%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.14%E -6.75%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -18.73%E -5.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.15%E -4.72%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-11 10:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57%0.9%2026-04-11 10:55
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-04-11 10:50
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.91%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.50%1.2%2026-04-11 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 49.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.1%2026-04-11 10:55