Language:English
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.76%43.01%42.56%50.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.782.082.152.2956.18%48.14%46.51%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV +8.59%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Growth +0.259%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%27.85%28.16%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.303.8533.33%29.29%30.30%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.26%3.42fair odd
EV +5.34%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.110%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%29.14%29.28%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.233.153.6034.72%30.94%31.75%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 42.54%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 28.20%; Draw: 29.26%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.59%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -23.01%E -12.71%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -0.721%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.89%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.22%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -4.67%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.73%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 0.1% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |