La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Predicción 42.54%2.35momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.76%43.01%42.56%50.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.782.082.152.2956.18%48.14%46.51%43.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)
Predicción 28.20%3.55momio equitativo
EV +8.59%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Crecimiento +0.259%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%27.85%28.16%29.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.303.8533.33%29.29%30.30%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.26%3.42momio equitativo
EV +5.34%
Ventaja +1.48%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.110%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%29.14%29.28%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.153.6034.72%30.94%31.75%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -23.01%E -12.71%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -0.721%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.89%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| GTbets | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.22%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -4.67%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.73%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 0.1% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |