مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

البداية: 2026-04-17 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.54%2.35السعر العادل
EV -2.59%
الأفضلية -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.29

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.76%43.01%42.56%50.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.782.082.152.2956.18%48.14%46.51%43.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.20%3.55السعر العادل
EV +8.59%
الأفضلية +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
النمو +0.259%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.90%27.85%28.16%29.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.413.303.8533.33%29.29%30.30%25.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.26%3.42السعر العادل
EV +5.34%
الأفضلية +1.48%
Kelly +2.05%
النمو +0.110%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.40%29.14%29.28%30.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.233.153.6034.72%30.94%31.75%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:45
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -23.01%E -12.71%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%9.3%2026-04-13 04:45
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023%11.4%2026-04-13 04:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023%11.4%2026-04-13 04:45
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -0.721%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 11:19
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:30
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.89%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 11:19
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 11:29
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.22%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -4.67%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 11:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:29
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 11:29
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:28
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 11:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 11:28
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 11:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.73%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 11:19
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 11:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-04-17 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-04-17 11:29