L’École des cotesFrançais
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prévision 42.54%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.76%43.01%42.56%50.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.782.082.152.2956.18%48.14%46.51%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.20%3.55cote équitable
EV +8.59%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Croissance +0.259%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%27.85%28.16%29.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.413.303.8533.33%29.29%30.30%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.26%3.42cote équitable
EV +5.34%
Avantage +1.48%
Kelly +2.05%
Croissance +0.110%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%29.14%29.28%30.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.233.153.6034.72%30.94%31.75%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:44 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -23.01%E -12.71%K -28.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023% | 11.4% | 2026-04-13 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -0.721%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.89%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| BetUS | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| GTbets | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.22%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -4.67%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Bovada | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 11:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.73%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 0.1% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 11:29 |