A Escola das Odds

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Início: 2026-04-17 11:35 UTC

Final: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–0 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Previsão 42.54%2.35odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.76%43.01%42.56%50.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.782.082.152.2956.18%48.14%46.51%43.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Previsão 28.20%3.55odd justa
EV +8.59%
Vantagem +2.23%
Kelly +3.01%
Crescimento +0.259%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.90%27.85%28.16%29.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.413.303.8533.33%29.29%30.30%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.26%3.42odd justa
EV +5.34%
Vantagem +1.48%
Kelly +2.05%
Crescimento +0.110%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%29.14%29.28%30.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.233.153.6034.72%30.94%31.75%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:45
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:44
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -22.59%E -12.41%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV +8.59%E +2.23%K +3.01%G +0.259%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%8.7%2026-04-13 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -23.01%E -12.71%K -28.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV +7.18%E +1.89%K +2.56%G +0.184%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV +5.34%E +1.48%K +2.05%G +0.110%9.3%2026-04-13 04:45
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023%11.4%2026-04-13 04:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.42%EV -24.29%E -13.64%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.93%EV +5.77%E +1.54%K +2.10%G +0.121%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV +2.41%E +0.689%K +0.964%G +0.023%11.4%2026-04-13 04:45
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.19%EV -5.15%E -2.31%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.36%EV -0.721%E -0.205%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.45%EV -4.32%E -1.32%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 11:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 11:19
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.28%E -0.367%K -0.514%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:30
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.89%EV -9.40%E -4.41%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.34%EV -3.54%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -4.11%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 11:19
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.38%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 11:29
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.22%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.75%EV -4.67%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.04%EV -5.49%E -1.70%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 11:30
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:29
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.02%E -1.32%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.17%EV -5.52%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -0.516%E -0.152%K -0.215%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 11:29
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 11:30
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 11:29
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.70%E -3.55%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.16%EV -6.95%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.93%E -2.10%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.29%E -3.00%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 11:25
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 11:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -8.71%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 11:28
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.34%E -2.56%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 11:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 11:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.90%E -1.51%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 11:28
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -7.27%E -3.34%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.83%E -2.49%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.29%E -1.91%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 11:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.68%E -5.08%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.75%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 11:29
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.37%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 11:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -6.42%E -2.92%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.16%E -3.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.22%E -4.07%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-17 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.93%E -7.46%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -12.57%E -4.05%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -15.73%E -5.46%K -8.37%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 11:19
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.80%E -6.24%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.39%E -5.13%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.76%E -3.53%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-17 11:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%0.1%2026-04-17 11:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-04-17 11:29
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-04-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-04-17 11:29