Language:English
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Prediction 30.07%3.33fair odd
EV +0.746%
Edge +0.223%
Kelly +0.317%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%29.91%30.12%31.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.93%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%42.82%42.59%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.132.152.3150.51%46.92%46.51%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.24%3.67fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.30%27.27%27.29%28.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 30.07%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 42.68%; Draw: 27.24%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.746%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.56%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.608%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -8.19%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -3.16%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.81%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -10.64%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -4.67%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.16%EV -6.53%E -2.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.93%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.38%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 06:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 07:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯⚠ implausible | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -33.84%E -15.38%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +32.31%E +10.42%K +15.39%G +4.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
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