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Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

2026-08-09 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prediction 28.79%3.47fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.60%28.79%28.79%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.3334.48%31.47%31.25%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)

Prediction 44.41%2.25fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.62%44.42%44.36%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.072.102.1350.51%48.20%47.62%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.79%26.85%27.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.13%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 28.79%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 44.41%; Draw: 26.80%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -3.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.33I 30.03%NM 28.62%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.75%EV -5.41%E -2.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.63%EV -4.04%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.62%EV -4.71%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.47%EV -5.41%E -2.54%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.65%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:30
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -3.50%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.63%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.50%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -6.73%E -2.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.77%EV -8.08%E -3.90%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.72%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.96%E -4.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.50%E -0.973%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:39
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:29
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.96%E -4.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:24
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:24
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.74%E -3.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -8.96%E -4.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.63%E -3.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.86%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 12:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.18%E -5.59%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.18%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -15.08%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -11.18%E -5.59%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.54%E -3.50%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 12:34
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -16.52%E -5.70%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.63%EV -12.07%E -6.10%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.88%E -3.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 12:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%10.0%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%10.0%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 53.44%2.14I 46.73%NM 25.97%2.70I 37.04%NM 20.59%79.9%2026-08-02 13:55