Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 11:35 UTC

Score final : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2–3 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.746%
Avantage +0.223%
Kelly +0.317%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%29.91%30.12%31.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.93%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.69%42.82%42.59%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.982.132.152.3150.51%46.92%46.51%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.24%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.738%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.30%27.27%27.29%28.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local) : 30.07% ; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur) : 42.68% ; Match nul : 27.24%. Pour Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.33. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.746%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:20
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:20
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:20
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 08:20
Pinnacle🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.56%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.608%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -8.19%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -3.16%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.81%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -10.64%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 07:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 07:25
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -4.67%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:24
GTbets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.16%EV -6.53%E -2.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.93%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:50
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.38%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 07:04
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:10
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 04:50
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 06:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:15
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 07:03
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:30
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 04:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:10
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:10
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 04:50
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 11:10
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:24
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 10:50
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 10:49
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-09 11:30
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 11:10
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 11:25
BetUS🎯⚠ invraisemblable2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -33.84%E -15.38%K -28.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +32.31%E +10.42%K +15.39%G +4.97%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-09 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-09 11:30
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-09 06:30
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-08-09 11:30