Idioma:Español
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local)
Predicción 30.07%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.746%
Ventaja +0.223%
Kelly +0.317%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%29.91%30.12%31.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.93%32.26%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV -1.40%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -1.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%42.82%42.59%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.982.132.152.3150.51%46.92%46.51%43.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.24%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.738%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.30%27.27%27.29%28.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local): 30.07%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante): 42.68%; Empate: 27.24%. Para Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.33. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.746%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.56%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.608%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -8.19%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -3.16%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.81%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -10.64%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -4.67%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.16%EV -6.53%E -2.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.93%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.38%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 06:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 07:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯⚠ inverosímil | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -33.84%E -15.38%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +32.31%E +10.42%K +15.39%G +4.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |