默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

2026-08-09 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)

预测 28.78%3.47公平赔率
EV -4.16%
优势 -1.25%
Kelly -1.78%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.33

博彩公司预测分布
28.60%28.80%28.83%29.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.183.203.3334.48%31.46%31.25%30.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)

预测 44.27%2.26公平赔率
EV -5.71%
优势 -2.68%
Kelly -5.05%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.13

博彩公司预测分布
43.62%44.36%44.17%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.082.102.1350.51%48.17%47.62%46.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.95%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -0.829%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
25.77%26.84%27.00%27.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.403.6030.77%29.14%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队):28.78%;Shanghai SIPG FC (客队):44.27%;平局:26.95%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.71。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.60,期望值为-2.99%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet3.33I 30.03%NM 28.62%EV -4.16%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.75%EV -5.71%E -2.68%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.63%EV -3.52%E -0.985%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 12:40
Pinnacle3.31I 30.21%NM 28.62%EV -4.73%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.47%EV -5.71%E -2.68%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.14%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:30
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -7.92%E -3.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 12:40
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -6.75%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.77%EV -8.36%E -4.04%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.22%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:29
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.99%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 12:39
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 12:29
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 14:55
betfred_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 12:40
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:24
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:24
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.90%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 14:25
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -9.34%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 12:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.39%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.81%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.80%EV -8.38%E -2.46%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 12:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.46%E -5.73%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.68%E -1.62%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -15.09%E -5.12%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -11.46%E -5.73%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.07%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 12:34
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -16.53%E -5.70%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.63%EV -12.35%E -6.24%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -12.42%E -3.82%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 12:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%10.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%10.0%2026-08-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 53.44%2.14I 46.73%NM 25.97%2.70I 37.04%NM 20.59%79.9%2026-08-02 15:25