语言:简体中文
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)
预测 30.07%3.33公平赔率
EV +0.746%
优势 +0.223%
Kelly +0.317%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.35
博彩公司预测分布
27.27%29.91%30.12%31.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.133.103.3534.72%31.93%32.26%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)
预测 42.68%2.34公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.608%
Kelly -1.07%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.31
博彩公司预测分布
41.69%42.82%42.59%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.132.152.3150.51%46.92%46.51%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.24%3.67公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.533%
Kelly -0.738%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.30%27.27%27.29%28.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.56%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)：30.07%；Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)：42.68%；平局：27.24%。 对于“Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.33。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.35，对应+0.746%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.93%E -6.34%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV +0.746%E +0.223%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -0.758%E -0.230%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -15.49%E -7.82%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -2.56%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.69%EV -1.40%E -0.608%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -8.19%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -3.16%E -0.983%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -7.81%E -3.61%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -10.64%E -3.24%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.04%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.73%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -3.83%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 07:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -4.67%E -1.47%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.91%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.91%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.16%EV -6.53%E -2.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.93%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -7.38%E -3.40%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -1.92%E -0.533%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.66%EV -5.27%E -1.67%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.86%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.10%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 06:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 07:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.77%E -2.18%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -3.97%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.10%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -8.28%E -2.71%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 04:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 10:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.46%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.78%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -11.28%E -3.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -12.79%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.37%E -4.94%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.26%EV -13.39%E -4.65%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.51%EV -12.50%E -6.10%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.23%EV -12.82%E -4.01%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯⚠ 不合理 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -33.84%E -15.38%K -28.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV +32.31%E +10.42%K +15.39%G +4.97% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.01%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 06:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:30 |