Language:English
Beijing FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Beijing FC (Local)
Prediction 41.76%2.39fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.748%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.63%41.75%41.78%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.232.3748.78%45.22%44.94%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.756%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.74%32.08%31.98%33.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.842.833.0738.02%35.18%35.40%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.11%26.17%26.24%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beijing FC (Local): 41.76%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 32.06%; Draw: 26.17%. For Beijing FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -1.02%E -0.432%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-12 10:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.973%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -4.37%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -1.56%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 07:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 07:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 05:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-07 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.48%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-12 06:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.39% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 1.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |