La scuola delle quote

Beijing FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inizio: 2026-04-12 11:35 UTC

Finale: Beijing FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Beijing FC (Casa)

Previsione 41.76%2.39quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.432%
Kelly -0.748%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.37

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.63%41.75%41.78%42.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.212.232.3748.78%45.22%44.94%42.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.06%3.12quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.510%
Kelly -0.756%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.74%32.08%31.98%33.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.842.833.0738.02%35.18%35.40%32.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.17%3.82quota equa
EV -1.84%
Vantaggio -0.492%
Kelly -0.671%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.11%26.17%26.24%28.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -1.02%E -0.432%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:13
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.973%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -4.37%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -1.56%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 05:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:04
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.48%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00