مدرسة الاحتمالات

Beijing FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-04-12 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Beijing FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Beijing FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.76%2.39السعر العادل
EV -1.02%
الأفضلية -0.432%
Kelly -0.748%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.37

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.63%41.75%41.78%42.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.212.232.3748.78%45.22%44.94%42.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.06%3.12السعر العادل
EV -1.56%
الأفضلية -0.510%
Kelly -0.756%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.74%32.08%31.98%33.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.842.833.0738.02%35.18%35.40%32.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.17%3.82السعر العادل
EV -1.84%
الأفضلية -0.492%
Kelly -0.671%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.11%26.17%26.24%28.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -1.02%E -0.432%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:13
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.973%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -4.37%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -1.56%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 05:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:04
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.48%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 11:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00