La escuela de los momios

Beijing FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Inicio: 2026-04-12 11:35 UTC

Final: Beijing FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Beijing FC (Local)

Predicción 41.76%2.39momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.432%
Kelly -0.748%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.63%41.75%41.78%42.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.232.3748.78%45.22%44.94%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Predicción 32.06%3.12momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.756%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.74%32.08%31.98%33.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.842.833.0738.02%35.18%35.40%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.17%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.84%
Ventaja -0.492%
Kelly -0.671%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.11%26.17%26.24%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -1.02%E -0.432%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:13
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.973%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -4.37%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -1.56%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 05:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:04
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.48%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00