Школа коэффициентов

Beijing FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Начало: 2026-04-12 11:35 UTC

Итог: Beijing FC 1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

46 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Beijing FC (Хозяева)

Прогноз 41.76%2.39справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.02%
Преимущество -0.432%
Kelly -0.748%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.63%41.75%41.78%42.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.212.232.3748.78%45.22%44.94%42.19%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Гости)

Прогноз 32.06%3.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.56%
Преимущество -0.510%
Kelly -0.756%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.07

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.74%32.08%31.98%33.59%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.842.833.0738.02%35.18%35.40%32.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.17%3.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.84%
Преимущество -0.492%
Kelly -0.671%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.11%26.17%26.24%28.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.65%28.57%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -1.02%E -0.432%K -0.748%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 10:13
GTbets2.34I 42.74%NM 40.46%EV -2.28%E -0.973%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.32%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.71%EV -3.49%E -1.16%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -7.34%E -2.07%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.01%EV -4.37%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.34%EV -1.56%E -0.510%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.65%EV -5.51%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.81%E -1.27%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -1.84%E -0.492%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.15%E -0.852%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 07:00
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.04%E -2.68%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:54
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -6.87%E -3.08%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 05:55
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -7.29%E -3.28%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.55%EV -7.71%E -3.49%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.02%E -2.42%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -7.08%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 05:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 08:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.12%E -3.69%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -8.62%E -3.02%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.00%EV -4.13%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 41.80%EV -8.96%E -4.11%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.00%EV -5.73%E -1.95%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:04
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV -9.38%E -4.32%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-07 15:05
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -7.66%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.18%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.41%E -1.83%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.31%E -3.68%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.21%E -4.75%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.83%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.22%E -3.65%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.70%E -2.81%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.30%E -5.86%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -15.67%E -5.96%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.48%E -7.16%K -10.74%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-12 06:25
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.33%EV -14.39%E -7.02%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.43%E -4.97%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -11.01%E -3.24%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.39%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00