The School of Odds
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Universidad de Chile v Palestino

2026-08-10 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prediction 50.38%1.98fair odd
EV -5.29%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -6.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%50.33%50.40%52.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.811.8858.82%55.21%55.25%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palestino (Visit)

Prediction 22.51%4.44fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +0.534%
Kelly +0.684%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%22.42%22.47%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.034.004.5527.78%24.81%25.00%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%27.25%27.13%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.5532.26%29.64%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Universidad de Chile (Local): 50.38%; Palestino (Visit): 22.51%; Draw: 27.11%. For Palestino (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.55, producing a positive expected value of +2.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.42%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.85%EV +2.43%E +0.534%K +0.684%G +0.017%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:09
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.66%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 21:54
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 21:45
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.52%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 22:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.45%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 23:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 19:50
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:04
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:05
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:05
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -10.32%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 00:04
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.20%EV -8.83%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 00:04
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 01:15
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 01:14
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 01:12
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 22:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 22:29
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-02 22:24
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.88%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 00:04
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.08%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 01:54
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.08%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 01:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-03 01:15
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.02%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.33%E -3.46%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-02 20:35
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.46%E -3.80%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-03 01:15
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.58%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-03 01:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -15.58%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 20:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -18.96%E -5.27%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-03 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 50.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24%16.5%2026-08-02 20:35