Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universidad de Chile v Palestino

Início: 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

Final: Universidad de Chile 2–1 Palestino

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Previsão 58.00%1.72odd justa
EV -3.14%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.79%58.03%58.00%60.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.75%62.89%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Palestino (Visitante)

Previsão 17.87%5.59odd justa
EV +2.78%
Vantagem +0.483%
Kelly +0.585%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.30%17.82%17.90%19.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.705.125.005.7521.28%19.52%20.00%17.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.13%4.14odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -0.872%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.03%24.16%24.10%25.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.783.754.0028.57%26.49%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Universidad de Chile (Local): 58.00%; Palestino (Visitante): 17.87%; Empate: 24.13%. Para Palestino (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.59. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.78%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.89%E +0.331%K +0.401%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.11%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.95%EV +0.992%E +0.176%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.61%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.63%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 23:34
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.76%E -0.508%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 23:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.11%EV -9.04%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:45
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 23:55
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:39
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.52%E -6.11%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -10.68%E -6.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.38%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.89%-0.4%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-09 22:40