默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Universidad de Chile v Palestino

开赛时间: 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

最终结果: Universidad de Chile 2–1 Palestino

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

45 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Universidad de Chile (主队)

预测 58.00%1.72公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -4.69%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
55.79%58.03%58.00%60.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.75%62.89%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Palestino (客队)

预测 17.87%5.59公平赔率
EV +2.78%
优势 +0.483%
Kelly +0.585%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.30%17.82%17.90%19.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.125.005.7521.28%19.52%20.00%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.13%4.14公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -0.872%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.03%24.16%24.10%25.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.783.754.0028.57%26.49%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Universidad de Chile (主队):58.00%;Palestino (客队):17.87%;平局:24.13%。 对于“Palestino (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.59。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.75,对应+2.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (45 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.89%E +0.331%K +0.401%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.11%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.95%EV +0.992%E +0.176%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.61%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.63%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 23:34
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.76%E -0.508%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 23:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.11%EV -9.04%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:45
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 23:55
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:39
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.52%E -6.11%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -10.68%E -6.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 21:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.38%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.89%-0.4%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-09 22:40