Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Universidad de Chile v Palestino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

Score final : Universidad de Chile 2–1 Palestino

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Universidad de Chile (Local)

Prévision 58.00%1.72cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.88%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.79%58.03%58.00%60.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.591.6766.67%62.75%62.89%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.87%5.59cote équitable
EV +2.78%
Avantage +0.483%
Kelly +0.585%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.30%17.82%17.90%19.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.125.005.7521.28%19.52%20.00%17.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.13%4.14cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -0.872%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.03%24.16%24.10%25.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.754.0028.57%26.49%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Universidad de Chile (Local) : 58.00% ; Palestino (Visiteur) : 17.87% ; Match nul : 24.13%. Pour Palestino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.59. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.75, soit une espérance positive de +2.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +2.78%E +0.483%K +0.585%G +0.016%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +1.89%E +0.331%K +0.401%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.11%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.95%EV +0.992%E +0.176%K +0.213%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 23:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -1.69%E -0.307%K -0.375%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -5.90%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 23:34
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.61%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.63%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -2.58%E -0.474%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 23:34
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -3.72%E -2.24%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.66%EV -2.76%E -0.508%K -0.622%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.45%EV -5.18%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -3.48%E -0.644%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 23:40
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.06%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -5.26%E -0.993%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -6.16%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 23:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.69%EV -3.14%E -1.88%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.11%EV -9.04%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.71%EV -7.78%E -4.90%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.05%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.22%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:45
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -8.31%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:34
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 23:55
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:39
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 21:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -15.55%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 23:55
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -13.00%E -8.67%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -10.63%E -2.13%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.90%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.93%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%EV -9.52%E -6.11%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -4.69%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.35%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.95%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -12.41%E -2.53%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.96%EV -10.73%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.79%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -14.20%E -2.96%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -13.14%E -3.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 23:20
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -3.49%E -0.872%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 19:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -15.10%E -3.18%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -9.52%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -10.68%E -6.94%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.97%EV -15.99%E -3.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -7.11%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 21:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 59.38%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.89%-0.4%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:50
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.42%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%0.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-08-09 22:40