Idioma:Español
Universidad de Chile v Palestino
Resultado del partido
Universidad de Chile (Local)
Predicción 50.38%1.98momio equitativo
EV -5.29%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -6.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.56%50.33%50.40%52.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.811.8858.82%55.21%55.25%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palestino (Visitante)
Predicción 22.51%4.44momio equitativo
EV +2.43%
Ventaja +0.534%
Kelly +0.684%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.85%22.42%22.47%23.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.604.034.004.5527.78%24.81%25.00%21.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%27.25%27.13%28.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.403.5532.26%29.64%29.41%28.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Universidad de Chile (Local): 50.38%; Palestino (Visitante): 22.51%; Empate: 27.11%. Para Palestino (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.44. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.55, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.42%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.85%EV +2.43%E +0.534%K +0.684%G +0.017% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 02:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.66%EV -7.30%E -3.97%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.93%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -4.33%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 21:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.26%EV -4.55%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.52%EV -7.02%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 22:50 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.45%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.86%EV -8.81%E -4.87%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-03 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -10.32%E -5.80%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.70%E -1.88%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.20%EV -8.83%E -2.18%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.79%E -3.10%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 01:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.31%E -4.57%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-03 01:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-03 01:12 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 22:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -6.80%E -3.67%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-02 22:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.88%EV -11.33%E -6.44%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.95%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-03 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.08%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 01:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.29%E -2.81%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -11.08%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.48%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 01:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.20%E -3.13%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-03 01:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.02%EV -13.35%E -7.76%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.33%E -3.46%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -9.19%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-02 20:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -9.32%E -5.18%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.46%E -3.80%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-03 01:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.80%E -4.26%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.58%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-03 01:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.80%EV -14.35%E -8.44%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -15.58%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-02 20:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.19%EV -11.84%E -6.76%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.91%EV -18.96%E -5.27%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-03 01:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.24% | 16.5% | 2026-08-02 20:35 |