Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union La Calera v Universidad de Chile

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

Final: Union La Calera 2–2 Universidad de Chile

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Union La Calera (Local)

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV +5.87%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.093%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%22.71%22.67%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.354.044.004.7029.85%24.75%25.00%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Universidad de Chile (Visit)

Prediction 50.55%1.98fair odd
EV +7.17%
Edge +3.38%
Kelly +6.40%
Growth +0.458%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.76%50.25%50.36%53.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.832.1258.82%54.53%54.64%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.92%3.71fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.701%
Kelly -0.968%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%27.04%26.97%28.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.6231.75%29.74%29.85%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 22.53%; Universidad de Chile (Visit): 50.55%; Draw: 26.92%. For Universidad de Chile (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -24.54%E -7.32%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV +7.17%E +3.38%K +6.40%G +0.458%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 22:20
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.996%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
GTbets🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -8.77%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.15%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 18:49
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 18:50
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Pinnacle🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +2.50%E +0.549%K +0.703%G +0.018%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.54%E -0.701%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.90%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-14 18:50
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +5.87%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.093%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-14 18:50
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.14%E -0.729%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:48
BetUS🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +3.62%E +0.787%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:50
PlayUp🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.32%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Everygame🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -2.46%E -0.568%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 18:50
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -0.883%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.07%E -8.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-06-14 18:51
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51