La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Union La Calera v Universidad de Chile
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 22.53%4.44momio equitativo
EV +5.87%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.093%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.89%22.71%22.67%27.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.354.044.004.7029.85%24.75%25.00%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Universidad de Chile (Visitante)
Predicción 50.55%1.98momio equitativo
EV +7.17%
Ventaja +3.38%
Kelly +6.40%
Crecimiento +0.458%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.76%50.25%50.36%53.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.831.832.1258.82%54.53%54.64%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.701%
Kelly -0.968%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.04%26.97%28.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.363.353.6231.75%29.74%29.85%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -24.54%E -7.32%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV +7.17%E +3.38%K +6.40%G +0.458% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 22:20 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.996%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| GTbets | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -8.77%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 18:46 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-14 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.15%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-14 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +2.50%E +0.549%K +0.703%G +0.018% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.54%E -0.701%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.90%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +5.87%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.093% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.14%E -0.729%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Bovada | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 18:48 |
| BetUS | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| BetAnything | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +3.62%E +0.787%K +1.01%G +0.036% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| PlayUp | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.32%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Everygame | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -2.46%E -0.568%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Neds | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -0.883%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.07%E -8.27%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11% | 0.8% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 1.2% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-06-14 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22% | 1.7% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |
| Smarkets | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59% | 3.0% | 2026-06-14 18:51 |