La scuola delle quote

Union La Calera v Universidad de Chile

Inizio: 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

Finale: Union La Calera 2–2 Universidad de Chile

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Union La Calera (Casa)

Previsione 22.53%4.44quota equa
EV +5.87%
Vantaggio +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Crescita +0.093%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.89%22.71%22.67%27.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.354.044.004.7029.85%24.75%25.00%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Universidad de Chile (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.55%1.98quota equa
EV +7.17%
Vantaggio +3.38%
Kelly +6.40%
Crescita +0.458%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.76%50.25%50.36%53.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.832.1258.82%54.53%54.64%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.92%3.71quota equa
EV -2.54%
Vantaggio -0.701%
Kelly -0.968%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%27.04%26.97%28.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.363.353.6231.75%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -24.54%E -7.32%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV +7.17%E +3.38%K +6.40%G +0.458%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 22:20
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.996%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
GTbets4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -8.77%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:46
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:49
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.15%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 18:49
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 18:50
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +2.50%E +0.549%K +0.703%G +0.018%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.54%E -0.701%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:50
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.90%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-14 18:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +5.87%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.093%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-14 18:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:49
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.14%E -0.729%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:48
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +3.62%E +0.787%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:50
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.32%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:51
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -2.46%E -0.568%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 18:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -0.883%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.07%E -8.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-06-14 18:51
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51