L’École des cotes

Union La Calera v Universidad de Chile

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

Score final : Union La Calera 2–2 Universidad de Chile

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union La Calera (Local)

Prévision 22.53%4.44cote équitable
EV +5.87%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.89%22.71%22.67%27.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.354.044.004.7029.85%24.75%25.00%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Universidad de Chile (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.55%1.98cote équitable
EV +7.17%
Avantage +3.38%
Kelly +6.40%
Croissance +0.458%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.76%50.25%50.36%53.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.832.1258.82%54.53%54.64%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.54%
Avantage -0.701%
Kelly -0.968%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.04%26.97%28.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.363.353.6231.75%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -24.54%E -7.32%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV +7.17%E +3.38%K +6.40%G +0.458%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 22:20
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.996%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
GTbets4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -8.77%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:46
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:49
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.15%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 18:49
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 18:50
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +2.50%E +0.549%K +0.703%G +0.018%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.54%E -0.701%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:50
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.90%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-14 18:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +5.87%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.093%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-14 18:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:49
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.14%E -0.729%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:48
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +3.62%E +0.787%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:50
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.32%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:51
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -2.46%E -0.568%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 18:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -0.883%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.07%E -8.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-06-14 18:51
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51