مدرسة الاحتمالات

Union La Calera v Universidad de Chile

البداية: 2026-06-14 19:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Union La Calera 2–2 Universidad de Chile

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Union La Calera (المضيف)

التنبؤ 22.53%4.44السعر العادل
EV +5.87%
الأفضلية +1.25%
Kelly +1.59%
النمو +0.093%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.89%22.71%22.67%27.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.354.044.004.7029.85%24.75%25.00%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Universidad de Chile (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.55%1.98السعر العادل
EV +7.17%
الأفضلية +3.38%
Kelly +6.40%
النمو +0.458%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.76%50.25%50.36%53.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.831.832.1258.82%54.53%54.64%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.92%3.71السعر العادل
EV -2.54%
الأفضلية -0.701%
Kelly -0.968%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%27.04%26.97%28.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.363.353.6231.75%29.74%29.85%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -24.54%E -7.32%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV +7.17%E +3.38%K +6.40%G +0.458%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 22:20
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.70%EV -1.93%E -0.996%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.62%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
GTbets4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -8.77%E -2.16%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.81%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-14 18:50
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -2.44%E -1.26%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:46
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -13.27%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.37%EV -3.45%E -1.81%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:50
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -3.96%E -2.08%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:49
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -17.78%E -4.87%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.63%EV -4.46%E -2.36%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-14 18:50
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -16.65%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -4.97%E -2.64%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -12.15%E -3.11%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -5.47%E -2.93%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-14 18:49
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -6.48%E -3.50%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 18:50
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -6.99%E -3.80%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Pinnacle4.55I 21.98%NM 21.08%EV +2.50%E +0.549%K +0.703%G +0.018%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.42%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.54%E -0.701%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:50
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 18:51
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -18.90%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -7.49%E -4.09%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-14 18:50
NordicBet4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV +5.87%E +1.25%K +1.59%G +0.093%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.35%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.29%EV -8.00%E -4.40%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-14 18:50
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.08%E -0.854%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:49
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.14%E -0.729%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.50%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.95%EV -7.38%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:48
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -9.01%E -5.01%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-14 18:50
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetAnything4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -10.02%E -5.63%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.77%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 18:50
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV +3.62%E +0.787%K +1.01%G +0.036%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:50
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.14%EV -10.53%E -5.95%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-14 18:50
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.42%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.32%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 18:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.93%EV -11.03%E -6.27%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:51
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -11.54%E -6.59%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -2.46%E -0.568%K -0.739%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-14 18:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -9.89%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.51%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Neds4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.43%EV -12.55%E -7.25%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -12.50%E -3.85%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-14 18:50
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -0.883%E -0.201%K -0.260%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -14.07%E -8.27%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.64%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-06-14 18:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-06-14 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.86%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.22%1.7%2026-06-14 18:51
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%3.0%2026-06-14 18:51