Language:English
Union La Calera v Colo Colo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Union La Calera (Local)
Prediction 21.25%4.71fair odd
EV +8.36%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +2.04%
Growth +0.170%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.83%21.19%21.18%22.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.324.255.1025.00%23.17%23.53%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Colo Colo (Visit)
Prediction 53.12%1.88fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.78%53.22%53.21%55.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.741.751.7961.73%57.56%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.63%3.90fair odd
EV +0.725%
Edge +0.185%
Kelly +0.248%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%25.59%25.62%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.9329.41%27.88%27.78%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Union La Calera (Local): 21.25%; Colo Colo (Visit): 53.12%; Draw: 25.63%. For Union La Calera (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +8.36%E +1.64%K +2.04%G +0.170% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.52%EV -0.565%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.26%E -0.492%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.54%E -0.780%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.94%E -8.60%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.45%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.39%EV +0.725%E +0.185%K +0.248%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.16%E -5.36%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
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