Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Union La Calera v Colo Colo

Início: 2026-08-09 21:32 UTC

Final: Union La Calera 1–2 Colo Colo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Union La Calera (Local)

Previsão 21.25%4.71odd justa
EV +8.36%
Vantagem +1.64%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescimento +0.170%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.83%21.19%21.18%22.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.324.255.1025.00%23.17%23.53%19.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Colo Colo (Visitante)

Previsão 53.12%1.88odd justa
EV -4.91%
Vantagem -2.74%
Kelly -6.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.78%53.22%53.21%55.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.741.751.7961.73%57.56%57.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.63%3.90odd justa
EV +0.725%
Vantagem +0.185%
Kelly +0.248%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.35%25.59%25.62%26.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.593.603.9329.41%27.88%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Union La Calera (Local): 21.25%; Colo Colo (Visitante): 53.12%; Empate: 25.63%. Para Union La Calera (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.71. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +8.36%E +1.64%K +2.04%G +0.170%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:54
Pinnacle🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.52%EV -0.565%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 21:15
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.26%E -0.492%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 20:55
GTbets🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.54%E -0.780%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 21:20
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 21:25
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.94%E -8.60%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 20:49
1xBet🎯4.47I 22.37%NM 21.45%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.39%EV +0.725%E +0.185%K +0.248%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-09 21:20
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:20
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:20
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:14
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:10
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 21:15
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.16%E -5.36%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 21:00
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 20:49
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:34
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 21:20
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 18:35
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 20:39
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:35
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 21:09
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 21:25
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 21:00
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 20:49
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 21:19
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 21:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-09 21:25
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-08-09 21:15
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%2.1%2026-08-09 21:25