Langue:Français
Union La Calera v Colo Colo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Union La Calera (Local)
Prévision 21.25%4.71cote équitable
EV +8.36%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.170%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.83%21.19%21.18%22.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.324.255.1025.00%23.17%23.53%19.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Colo Colo (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.12%1.88cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -6.21%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.78%53.22%53.21%55.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.741.751.7961.73%57.56%57.14%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV +0.725%
Avantage +0.185%
Kelly +0.248%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 3.93
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.35%25.59%25.62%26.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.593.603.9329.41%27.88%27.78%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Union La Calera (Local) : 21.25% ; Colo Colo (Visiteur) : 53.12% ; Match nul : 25.63%. Pour Union La Calera (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.10, soit une espérance positive de +8.36%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +8.36%E +1.64%K +2.04%G +0.170% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.52%EV -0.565%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.26%E -0.492%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.54%E -0.780%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.94%E -8.60%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.45%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.39%EV +0.725%E +0.185%K +0.248%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.16%E -5.36%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |