Idioma:Español
Union La Calera v Colo Colo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union La Calera (Local)
Predicción 21.25%4.71momio equitativo
EV +8.36%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.170%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.83%21.19%21.18%22.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.324.255.1025.00%23.17%23.53%19.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Colo Colo (Visitante)
Predicción 53.12%1.88momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -6.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.78%53.22%53.21%55.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.741.751.7961.73%57.56%57.14%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.63%3.90momio equitativo
EV +0.725%
Ventaja +0.185%
Kelly +0.248%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.35%25.59%25.62%26.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.593.603.9329.41%27.88%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Union La Calera (Local): 21.25%; Colo Colo (Visitante): 53.12%; Empate: 25.63%. Para Union La Calera (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.71. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.36%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +8.36%E +1.64%K +2.04%G +0.170% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.52%EV -0.565%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.26%E -0.492%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.54%E -0.780%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.94%E -8.60%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.45%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.39%EV +0.725%E +0.185%K +0.248%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.16%E -5.36%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-09 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-09 21:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-09 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 21:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 21:25 |