StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Union La Calera v Colo Colo

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-09 21:32 UTC

Endstand: Union La Calera 1–2 Colo Colo

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Union La Calera (Heim)

Prognose 21.25%4.71faire Quote
EV +8.36%
Vorteil +1.64%
Kelly +2.04%
Wachstum +0.170%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
18.83%21.19%21.18%22.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.324.255.1025.00%23.17%23.53%19.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Colo Colo (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.12%1.88faire Quote
EV -4.91%
Vorteil -2.74%
Kelly -6.21%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.78%53.22%53.21%55.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.621.741.751.7961.73%57.56%57.14%55.87%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 25.63%3.90faire Quote
EV +0.725%
Vorteil +0.185%
Kelly +0.248%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.93

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
24.35%25.59%25.62%26.93%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.593.603.9329.41%27.88%27.78%25.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Union La Calera (Heim): 21.25%; Colo Colo (Auswärts): 53.12%; Unentschieden: 25.63%. Für Union La Calera (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.71. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 5.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.36%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.83%EV +8.36%E +1.64%K +2.04%G +0.170%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.87%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.31%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 20:54
Pinnacle🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.52%EV -0.565%E -0.121%K -0.154%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.66%EV -4.91%E -2.74%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.66%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 21:15
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -2.26%E -0.492%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 20:55
GTbets🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 20.84%EV -3.54%E -0.780%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.38%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -2.09%E -0.548%K -0.743%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 21:20
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
BetAnything🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.45%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.28%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.54%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 21:25
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -4.39%E -0.975%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -13.94%E -8.60%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 20:49
1xBet🎯4.47I 22.37%NM 21.45%EV -5.03%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.39%EV +0.725%E +0.185%K +0.248%G +0.002%4.3%2026-08-09 21:20
Betsson🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:20
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -5.45%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:20
betano_uk🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:14
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 21:10
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 21:15
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -9.16%E -5.36%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.51%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 21:00
LeoVegas🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -8.00%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 19:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.64%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 21:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 20:49
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:34
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.88%EV -5.44%E -3.06%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 21:20
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -9.70%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -5.97%E -3.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 18:35
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.61%E -0.686%K -0.931%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 20:39
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:35
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -7.03%E -4.02%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 21:09
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 21:25
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 21:00
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.05%EV -10.76%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.94%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.00%EV -12.86%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -5.17%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -8.63%E -5.02%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 20:49
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -12.89%E -3.14%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%EV -11.28%E -6.76%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.58%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 21:19
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 21:20
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -8.10%E -4.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 20:39
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -15.01%E -3.75%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.69%E -5.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.73%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 21:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Matchbook◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-08-09 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.79%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-08-09 21:25
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-08-09 21:15
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%2.1%2026-08-09 21:25