语言:简体中文
Palestino v Universidad de Concepción
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palestino (主队)
预测 54.36%1.84公平赔率
EV -2.70%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.79
博彩公司预测分布
51.90%54.28%54.38%55.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.691.681.7962.11%59.16%59.52%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
Universidad de Concepción (客队)
预测 21.15%4.73公平赔率
EV -0.593%
优势 -0.126%
Kelly -0.160%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.70
博彩公司预测分布
19.80%21.18%21.12%22.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.354.344.7025.00%23.01%23.04%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.49%4.08公平赔率
EV -4.47%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.90
博彩公司预测分布
23.61%24.54%24.50%25.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.713.753.9028.57%26.94%26.67%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palestino (主队)：54.36%；Universidad de Concepción (客队)：21.15%；平局：24.49%。 对于“Universidad de Concepción (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.73。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.70，期望值为-0.593%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -3.55%E -0.779%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.82%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -2.07%E -0.448%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -8.88%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -2.29%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.71%E -0.589%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -9.77%E -5.89%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |