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Palestino v Universidad de Concepción
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Palestino (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.36%1.84справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.70%
Преимущество -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.79
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.90%54.28%54.38%55.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.611.691.681.7962.11%59.16%59.52%55.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Universidad de Concepción (Гости)
Прогноз 21.15%4.73справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.593%
Преимущество -0.126%
Kelly -0.160%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.80%21.18%21.12%22.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.354.344.7025.00%23.01%23.04%21.28%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.49%4.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.47%
Преимущество -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.90
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.61%24.54%24.50%25.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.713.753.9028.57%26.94%26.67%25.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Palestino (Хозяева): 54.36%; Universidad de Concepción (Гости): 21.15%; Ничья: 24.49%. Для исхода «Universidad de Concepción (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.73. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.70, математическое ожидание — -0.593%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -3.55%E -0.779%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.82%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -2.07%E -0.448%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -8.88%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -2.29%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.71%E -0.589%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -9.77%E -5.89%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |