Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Palestino v Universidad de Concepción

Inizio: 2026-09-06 22:31 UTC

Finale: Palestino 2–1 Universidad de Concepción

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Palestino (Casa)

Previsione 54.36%1.84quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.90%54.28%54.38%55.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.691.681.7962.11%59.16%59.52%55.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.15%4.73quota equa
EV -0.593%
Vantaggio -0.126%
Kelly -0.160%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.80%21.18%21.12%22.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.354.344.7025.00%23.01%23.04%21.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.49%4.08quota equa
EV -4.47%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.61%24.54%24.50%25.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.713.753.9028.57%26.94%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Palestino (Casa): 54.36%; Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta): 21.15%; Pareggio: 24.49%. Per Universidad de Concepción (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.73. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 4.70, con un valore atteso del -0.593%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -3.55%E -0.779%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 22:20
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.82%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -2.07%E -0.448%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -8.88%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -2.29%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 22:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 22:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:15
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.71%E -0.589%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -9.77%E -5.89%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 22:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-06 22:20