Idioma:Español
Palestino v Universidad de Concepción
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palestino (Local)
Predicción 54.36%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.90%54.28%54.38%55.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.681.7962.11%59.16%59.52%55.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Universidad de Concepción (Visitante)
Predicción 21.15%4.73momio equitativo
EV -0.593%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.160%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.80%21.18%21.12%22.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.344.7025.00%23.01%23.04%21.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.49%4.08momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.61%24.54%24.50%25.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.713.753.9028.57%26.94%26.67%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Palestino (Local): 54.36%; Universidad de Concepción (Visitante): 21.15%; Empate: 24.49%. Para Universidad de Concepción (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.73. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.70, con un valor esperado de -0.593%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -3.55%E -0.779%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.82%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -2.07%E -0.448%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -8.88%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-06 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -2.29%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 22:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.71%E -0.589%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -9.77%E -5.89%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 22:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 22:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28% | 0.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 1.9% | 2026-09-06 22:20 |