Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino v Universidad de Concepción

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 22:31 UTC

Score final : Palestino 2–1 Universidad de Concepción

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 54.36%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -3.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.90%54.28%54.38%55.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.691.681.7962.11%59.16%59.52%55.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.15%4.73cote équitable
EV -0.593%
Avantage -0.126%
Kelly -0.160%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.80%21.18%21.12%22.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.354.344.7025.00%23.01%23.04%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.49%4.08cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%24.54%24.50%25.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.713.753.9028.57%26.94%26.67%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palestino (Local) : 54.36% ; Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur) : 21.15% ; Match nul : 24.49%. Pour Universidad de Concepción (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.70, pour une espérance de -0.593% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.62%EV -2.70%E -1.51%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.05%EV -3.55%E -0.779%K -0.998%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.33%EV -7.17%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 22:20
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.82%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.57%EV -2.07%E -0.448%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -8.88%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.33%E -2.46%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.73%EV -2.29%E -0.495%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 17:24
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.30%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.23%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -5.42%E -3.12%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 22:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 22:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:15
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -5.96%E -3.45%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -14.27%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 22:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 22:15
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.19%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.00%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -7.41%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 22:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 22:15
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.09%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -7.60%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -2.71%E -0.589%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 22:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.47%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.14%E -4.82%K -11.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 22:25
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.593%E -0.126%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -4.82%E -1.07%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.92%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 22:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.07%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.37%EV -10.11%E -2.38%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 22:20
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.99%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 22:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.51%EV -9.23%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.75%EV -9.77%E -5.89%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 22:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.05%E -2.11%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.43%EV -10.86%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -13.28%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.65%EV -8.42%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.37%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.81%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -6.94%E -1.58%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 22:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -15.40%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.82%E -3.28%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.44%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.17%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -13.05%E -3.68%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 22:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.99%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%0.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-09-06 22:25
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%1.7%2026-09-06 22:20
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-09-06 22:20