Language:English
Palestino v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV +7.26%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.73%
Growth +0.198%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.24%29.44%29.26%32.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.083.103.6636.36%32.44%32.26%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV +0.403%
Edge +0.177%
Kelly +0.315%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.98%43.97%43.99%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2851.28%47.42%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.99%26.59%26.75%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.443.6330.77%29.08%29.11%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 29.31%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visit): 44.04%; Draw: 26.66%. For Palestino (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV +7.26%E +1.98%K +2.73%G +0.198% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.361%E -0.106%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.21%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.49%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -3.23%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -13.25%E -6.72%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -8.57%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -8.83%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 22:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -13.69%E -6.98%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -13.55%E -4.59%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 22:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -17.94%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |