Idioma:Español
Palestino v Universidad Católica (CHI)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Palestino (Local)
Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV +7.26%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.73%
Crecimiento +0.198%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%29.44%29.26%32.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.083.103.6636.36%32.44%32.26%27.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante)
Predicción 44.04%2.27momio equitativo
EV +0.403%
Ventaja +0.177%
Kelly +0.315%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.98%43.97%43.99%46.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.112.102.2851.28%47.42%47.62%43.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.66%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -0.891%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%26.59%26.75%27.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.443.443.6330.77%29.08%29.11%27.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Palestino (Local): 29.31%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visitante): 44.04%; Empate: 26.66%. Para Palestino (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.41. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.66, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.26%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV +7.26%E +1.98%K +2.73%G +0.198% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.361%E -0.106%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.21%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.49%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -3.23%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -13.25%E -6.72%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -8.57%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -8.83%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 22:57 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -13.69%E -6.98%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-12 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-12 22:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -13.55%E -4.59%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-12 22:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-12 22:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -17.94%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-07 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-07 14:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33% | 0.2% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.5% | 2026-09-12 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 22:46 |