Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 23:01 UTC

Score final : Palestino 2–3 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 29.31%3.41cote équitable
EV +7.26%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.73%
Croissance +0.198%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%29.44%29.26%32.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.083.103.6636.36%32.44%32.26%27.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.04%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.403%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.315%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.98%43.97%43.99%46.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.102.2851.28%47.42%47.62%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.99%26.59%26.75%27.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.443.443.6330.77%29.08%29.11%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palestino (Local) : 29.31% ; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Visiteur) : 44.04% ; Match nul : 26.66%. Pour Palestino (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.66, soit une espérance positive de +7.26%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV +7.26%E +1.98%K +2.73%G +0.198%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:59
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.361%E -0.106%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 23:00
GTbets🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.21%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.49%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:46
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -3.23%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:59
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:59
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:00
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 22:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -13.25%E -6.72%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 22:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 22:46
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -8.57%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -8.83%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 22:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 22:45
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 23:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:46
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -13.69%E -6.98%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 22:45
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 22:40
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -13.55%E -4.59%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 22:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:39
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 22:48
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 22:40
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -17.94%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-09-12 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-12 22:55
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.5%2026-09-12 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-09-12 23:00
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-09-12 22:46