StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palestino v Universidad Católica (CHI)

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 23:01 UTC

Slutresultat: Palestino 2–3 Universidad Católica (CHI)

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Palestino (Hemma)

Prognos 29.31%3.41rättvist odds
EV +7.26%
Fördel +1.98%
Kelly +2.73%
Tillväxt +0.198%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.24%29.44%29.26%32.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.083.103.6636.36%32.44%32.26%27.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Universidad Católica (CHI) (Borta)

Prognos 44.04%2.27rättvist odds
EV +0.403%
Fördel +0.177%
Kelly +0.315%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.98%43.97%43.99%46.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.952.112.102.2851.28%47.42%47.62%43.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.66%3.75rättvist odds
EV -3.23%
Fördel -0.891%
Kelly -1.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.63

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.99%26.59%26.75%27.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.443.443.6330.77%29.08%29.11%27.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Palestino (Hemma): 29.31%; Universidad Católica (CHI) (Borta): 44.04%; Oavgjort: 26.66%. För Palestino (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.41. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.66, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.26%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV +7.26%E +1.98%K +2.73%G +0.198%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.17%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.59%EV -7.23%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:59
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -0.361%E -0.106%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.94%EV -3.12%E -1.42%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 23:00
GTbets🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 29.21%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.49%EV -2.68%E -1.21%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.16%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 22:46
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 29.34%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.15%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.51%EV -3.23%E -0.891%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-12 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:59
BetAnything🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 22:59
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 23:00
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.88%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 23:00
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.76%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-12 22:59
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 22:45
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -6.22%E -1.94%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -13.25%E -6.72%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 22:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 22:45
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.69%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 22:46
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.67%EV -8.57%E -2.75%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.26%EV -5.76%E -2.69%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.07%EV -8.83%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 22:57
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 22:45
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 23:00
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:46
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.15%E -2.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -13.69%E -6.98%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 22:45
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -10.62%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.32%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 22:40
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 22:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-12 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.93%E -5.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.36%E -4.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-12 22:45
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -13.55%E -4.59%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -6.64%E -3.13%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-12 22:40
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:39
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV +0.403%E +0.177%K +0.315%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 14:40
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.01%E -5.18%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -14.13%E -7.25%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 22:48
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 22:40
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -15.60%E -5.42%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -17.94%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.16%EV -4.00%E -1.83%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-07 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -19.41%E -7.06%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -4.88%E -2.26%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 14:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.92%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.33%0.2%2026-09-12 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23%0.6%2026-09-12 22:55
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 28.99%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.5%2026-09-12 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-09-12 23:00
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%5.1%2026-09-12 22:46