Language:English
Palestino v Cobresal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Palestino (Local)
Prediction 60.96%1.64fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.25%60.82%60.92%63.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.501.501.5975.76%66.62%66.67%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cobresal (Visit)
Prediction 15.57%6.42fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.188%
Kelly +0.222%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.99%15.67%15.57%17.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.46%4.26fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.453%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%23.51%23.51%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.804.2029.41%26.01%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Palestino (Local): 60.96%; Cobresal (Visit): 15.57%; Draw: 23.46%. For Cobresal (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.03%EV -0.803%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.61%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.78%E -6.60%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -8.90%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -9.84%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -2.62%E -0.632%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:27 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 63.17%EV -19.53%E -14.79%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 14.89%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.87%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -14.65%E -10.47%K -36.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.22%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -10.99%E -7.53%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -10.38%E -7.06%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -20.58%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |