L’École des cotes

Palestino v Cobresal

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 23:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palestino (Local)

Prévision 60.96%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.25%60.82%60.92%63.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.501.501.5975.76%66.62%66.67%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cobresal (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.57%6.42cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.188%
Kelly +0.222%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.99%15.67%15.57%17.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.46%4.26cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.453%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.66%23.51%23.51%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.843.804.2029.41%26.01%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.03%EV -0.803%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.61%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 23:29
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:30
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.78%E -6.60%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 23:29
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -8.90%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:29
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -9.84%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -2.62%E -0.632%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 23:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:25
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:27
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 23:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.17%EV -19.53%E -14.79%K -61.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 14.89%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.87%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -14.65%E -10.47%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.22%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -10.99%E -7.53%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -10.38%E -7.06%K -22.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -20.58%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 23:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%3.7%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-03-08 23:30