语言:简体中文
Palestino v Cobresal
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Palestino (主队)
预测 60.96%1.64公平赔率
EV -3.07%
优势 -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.59
博彩公司预测分布
58.25%60.82%60.92%63.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.501.501.5975.76%66.62%66.67%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cobresal (客队)
预测 15.57%6.42公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.188%
Kelly +0.222%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
13.99%15.67%15.57%17.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.46%4.26公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.345%
Kelly -0.453%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
21.66%23.51%23.51%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.843.804.2029.41%26.01%26.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Palestino (主队)：60.96%；Cobresal (客队)：15.57%；平局：23.46%。 对于“Cobresal (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.42。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.50，对应+1.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 15.03%EV -0.803%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.61%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.78%E -6.60%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -8.90%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -9.84%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -2.62%E -0.632%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 23:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:27 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 63.17%EV -19.53%E -14.79%K -61.03%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 14.89%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.87%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -14.65%E -10.47%K -36.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.22%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -10.99%E -7.53%K -23.90%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -10.38%E -7.06%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -20.58%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91% | 3.7% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |