La escuela de los momios

Palestino v Cobresal

Inicio: 2026-03-08 23:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Palestino (Local)

Predicción 60.96%1.64momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.25%60.82%60.92%63.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.501.501.5975.76%66.62%66.67%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cobresal (Visitante)

Predicción 15.57%6.42momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.188%
Kelly +0.222%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.99%15.67%15.57%17.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.453%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.66%23.51%23.51%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.843.804.2029.41%26.01%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.03%EV -0.803%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.61%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 23:29
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:30
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.78%E -6.60%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 23:29
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -8.90%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:29
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -9.84%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -2.62%E -0.632%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 23:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:25
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:27
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 23:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.17%EV -19.53%E -14.79%K -61.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 14.89%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.87%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -14.65%E -10.47%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.22%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -10.99%E -7.53%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -10.38%E -7.06%K -22.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -20.58%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 23:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%3.7%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-03-08 23:30