A Escola das Odds

Palestino v Cobresal

Início: 2026-03-08 23:32 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Palestino (Local)

Previsão 60.96%1.64odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -5.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.25%60.82%60.92%63.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.501.501.5975.76%66.62%66.67%62.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cobresal (Visitante)

Previsão 15.57%6.42odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.188%
Kelly +0.222%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.99%15.67%15.57%17.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.005.725.756.5020.00%17.49%17.39%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.46%4.26odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.345%
Kelly -0.453%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.66%23.51%23.51%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.843.804.2029.41%26.01%26.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:28
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 62.70%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV +1.22%E +0.188%K +0.222%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.17%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 15.03%EV -0.803%E -0.126%K -0.150%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.10%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.77%EV -2.67%E -0.427%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.36%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.45%E -0.557%K -0.664%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -6.61%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 23:29
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 23:30
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 23:30
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -1.45%E -0.345%K -0.453%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.78%E -6.60%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -11.60%E -8.00%K -25.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 23:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-08 23:29
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.13%EV -8.90%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.79%E -0.926%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:29
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.54%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.87%EV -9.68%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 23:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.32%EV -3.07%E -1.93%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.57%EV -9.84%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.11%EV -2.62%E -0.632%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:29
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 23:30
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 23:25
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:27
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.14%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.82%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -10.46%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 23:29
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.54%EV -7.95%E -5.26%K -15.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.32%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.31%E -1.85%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 23:30
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.73%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.03%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -16.70%E -4.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 23:29
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 63.17%EV -19.53%E -14.79%K -61.03%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 14.89%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.94%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -7.34%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 23:30
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -9.66%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.87%E -5.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 60.01%EV -14.65%E -10.47%K -36.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.28%EV -14.35%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.22%E -5.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.07%EV -10.99%E -7.53%K -23.90%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.55%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.39%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.40%EV -12.21%E -8.48%K -27.76%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.41%EV -17.47%E -3.30%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -12.01%E -3.20%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -18.24%E -3.48%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.83%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 23:29
Winamax (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.05%EV -10.38%E -7.06%K -22.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.31%EV -20.58%E -4.04%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -8.49%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-08 23:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -8.56%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.14%E -4.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -15.53%E -4.31%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.60%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-03-08 23:29
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-03-08 23:30
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.02%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%3.7%2026-03-08 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%3.8%2026-03-08 23:30