语言:简体中文
Ñublense v Palestino
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ñublense (主队)
预测 40.57%2.47公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
39.07%40.53%40.53%42.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.122.252.252.4047.17%44.46%44.44%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Palestino (客队)
预测 30.43%3.29公平赔率
EV +0.403%
优势 +0.122%
Kelly +0.175%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
28.56%30.40%30.42%32.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.16%33.33%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.01%3.45公平赔率
EV -3.70%
优势 -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
27.63%29.06%29.05%30.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.173.203.3233.90%31.58%31.25%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ñublense (主队)：40.57%；Palestino (客队)：30.43%；平局：29.01%。 对于“Palestino (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.30，对应+0.403%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.51%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.403%E +0.122%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -1.42%E -0.439%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -5.15%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.00%E -6.60%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.83%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.70%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.15%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.30%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -14.43%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.29%E -4.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |