Idioma:Español
Ñublense v Palestino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ñublense (Local)
Predicción 40.57%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.07%40.53%40.53%42.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.122.252.252.4047.17%44.46%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Palestino (Visitante)
Predicción 30.43%3.29momio equitativo
EV +0.403%
Ventaja +0.122%
Kelly +0.175%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.56%30.40%30.42%32.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.16%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.06%29.05%30.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.173.203.3233.90%31.58%31.25%30.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ñublense (Local): 40.57%; Palestino (Visitante): 30.43%; Empate: 29.01%. Para Palestino (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.403%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.51%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.403%E +0.122%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -1.42%E -0.439%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -5.15%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.00%E -6.60%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.83%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.70%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.15%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.30%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -14.43%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.29%E -4.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |