L’École des cotes

Ñublense v Palestino

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Chile

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ñublense (Local)

Prévision 42.39%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%42.37%42.31%43.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2950.00%46.19%46.51%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palestino (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.73%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.33%
Avantage -0.685%
Kelly -0.971%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.50%28.76%28.66%30.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.163.153.4033.90%31.66%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.88%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -0.751%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.46%28.86%29.03%30.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.173.203.4033.90%31.51%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.84%EV -2.92%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.12%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-24 13:45
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.23%EV -3.77%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.33%E -0.685%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.58%EV -6.42%E -1.98%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 19:20
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:40
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:39
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -4.19%E -1.86%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -3.77%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 02:39
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.33%E -0.685%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 14:25
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.91%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.45%EV -6.06%E -1.85%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.63%EV -9.31%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-20 04:14
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 19:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 06:09
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.80%E -0.530%K -0.751%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 19:05
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.64%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 08:04
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -9.31%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 04:15
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 17:05
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 02:40
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 17:05
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -3.25%E -0.969%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:44
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -3.25%E -0.969%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 02:44
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.75%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 17:05
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -8.43%E -3.90%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -11.91%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 17:05
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-24 09:44
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 19:04
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -10.37%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 19:05
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.54%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.32%EV -10.37%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 19:05
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 12:56
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 12:59
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 02:44
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 08:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 19:10
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 15:54
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 09:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:04
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:05
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.36%E -4.45%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-20 17:05
Codere (IT)2.13I 46.95%NM 42.31%EV -9.71%E -4.56%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -9.51%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 08:04
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -10.13%E -4.78%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.69%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 02:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.20%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 19:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 02:38
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -7.58%E -2.37%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-23 19:05
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.79%EV -14.80%E -5.02%K -7.59%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 05:50
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.95%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 19:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -13.82%E -4.61%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -10.47%E -3.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-21 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.85%EV -15.22%E -7.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.05%EV -15.26%E -5.17%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.10%EV -11.91%E -3.91%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-24 08:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%1.9%2026-07-26 02:44
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.64%2.7%2026-07-25 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%4.0%2026-07-25 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%4.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.56%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.15%4.0%2026-07-25 15:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%5.0%2026-07-25 19:25