Langue:Français
Ñublense v Palestino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ñublense (Local)
Prévision 40.57%2.47cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.88%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.07%40.53%40.53%42.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.252.252.4047.17%44.46%44.44%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Palestino (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.43%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.403%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.175%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.56%30.40%30.42%32.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.023.003.3035.71%33.16%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.01%3.45cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.63%29.06%29.05%30.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.173.203.3233.90%31.58%31.25%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ñublense (Local) : 40.57% ; Palestino (Visiteur) : 30.43% ; Match nul : 29.01%. Pour Palestino (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.403%.
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.80%EV -7.51%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +0.403%E +0.122%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.81%EV -4.26%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.73%EV -1.42%E -0.439%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -5.15%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:46 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -2.64%E -0.825%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.43%EV -14.00%E -6.60%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -4.16%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-26 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -5.07%E -1.63%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.74%EV -9.50%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.29%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.83%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.88%EV -3.70%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.15%EV -7.10%E -3.10%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.30%EV -5.38%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 18:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -5.68%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -14.43%E -4.89%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%EV -8.32%E -3.68%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.14%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -7.20%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -10.25%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -11.53%E -3.78%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -4.28%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.73%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-26 18:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -8.63%E -2.74%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.68%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -11.77%E -4.06%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.16%EV -12.98%E -4.33%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -7.18%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -12.38%E -4.30%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.29%E -4.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-26 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -14.81%E -5.29%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.08%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-26 18:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 1.0% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.83% | 1.6% | 2026-07-26 18:50 |